Pablo Carreno-Busta vs Pablo Llamas Ruiz Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• When comparing recent second serve performance, Carreno-Busta has a lower win percentage, achieving 45.38% compared to Ruiz's slight edge at 45.51%. Could this minor difference affect the match outcome? Possibly, but let's explore further.
• In terms of returning the second serve, Carreno-Busta appears stronger, winning 46.84% of points, whereas Ruiz trails slightly at 45.16%.
• However, for first serve returns, Ruiz excels with a 31.51% success rate compared to Carreno-Busta's 26.41%.
• Analyzing their ability to handle pressure, Carreno-Busta saves breakpoints more effectively at 54.94%, against Ruiz's 49.17%.
• Last year's match win percentages are close: Carreno-Busta at 51.92% and Ruiz at 54.29%, indicating evenly matched career performance.
• Both players achieve their career-best win percentages on clay: Carreno-Busta leads with 66% while Ruiz closely follows with 64%.
• Grass surfaces are less favorable for both, with Carreno-Busta winning just 30% on grass and Ruiz at 33%.
• When comparing match levels, Carreno-Busta shows better form at Challenger/ITF tournaments with a 72.73% win rate, surpassing Ruiz's 40% success at similar events.
• The quality of opponents faced favors Carreno-Busta, who has played against higher-ranked players (average rank of 163.67) compared to Ruiz (262.31).
• In the deciding sets, Ruiz holds a notable advantage with a 58% win rate, outshining Carreno-Busta's 38%.
• Break point conversion stats are similar, with Carreno-Busta converting 31.29% and Ruiz 30.27%, which suggests competitive breakpoint scenarios.

Editorial Prediction (August 24, 2025, UTC):

Upon reviewing the comparative statistics, Carreno-Busta and Ruiz showcase closely matched capabilities in many areas, notably their performance on clay and overall match win percentages.

While Ruiz shows potential advantages in deciding sets and first serve returns, Carreno-Busta's superior second serve returns and percentage of saved breakpoints could prove pivotal.

Moreover, Carreno-Busta's experience in playing against higher-ranked opponents might give him an added edge in this encounter.

Taking these factors into consideration, Carreno-Busta emerges as the likely favorite to win this upcoming tennis match, albeit with potential challenges from Ruiz's strong areas.